Friday, September 01, 2017

Gen Z distrusts the political class

The Hispanic Heritage Foundation's 2016 presidential primary survey asked participants about their "attitude[s] towards politicians". Other than the no opinion/don't know answers, there were five possible responses.

Three fit into one bucket. The remaining two fit into another. They've been separated accordingly below.

The distribution of high school student responses on attitudes towards politicians in general, by race, follow. They are treated as exhaustive here:

Zs' expressed lack of trust in politicians shows that loss of faith in America's institutions is unlikely to reverse as the next generational cohort comes of age. To the contrary, it looks to be accelerating. While non-whites are modestly more trusting of the political class than whites are, lack of trust is the rule across the board.

While the newly elected people are a bit more favorably inclined towards the political class, that's probably neutralized on account of electing said new people accentuates the distrust legacy Americans feel towards the political class.

The distribution of high school student responses on the trustworthiness of local politicians relative to national ones, by race, follow. They are treated as exhaustive:

The political dissolution of the US is a question of "when?" and of "how?", not of "if?".


Paul Rain said...

Amren borther.

Anonymous said...

Generation Zyklon

Audacious Epigone said...

Amen brother from an AmRen brother?

Sid said...

AE, I know you're confident that the US will come asunder politically relatively soon. My own view is that the US federal government's power of the fiat dollar is more than enough incentive to keep the Union together. The two states that could be viable independent nations are California and Texas. Talk about Calexit vanished once the Oroville Dam incident was underway. Similarly, I doubt anyone is thrilled about the prospect of a Texit when federal dollars will make rebuilding Houston a much smoother process.

The federal government's massive debt is chipping away at the dollar's international might. So is China's persistent economic growth, though of course China is going through growing pains. If the power of the dollar collapses, then that will definitely break down the Union's cohesion, making secessionist movements far more viable. At the same time, the growing strategic power of China will reinforce political union, as the America will need to keep whole to retain its own geopolitical potency. The US' civic culture declined once the USSR collapsed, much the way Rome began to tear at itself once Carthage was laid waste.

Audacious Epigone said...


I had the privilege of talking to Razib Khan a couple weeks ago (in person) and I asked him what he thought about the potential for the political dissolution of the US. He said he thought it was possible but that the precipitating incident would likely be economic rather than cultural, and that the cultural part would just make it easier. Iow, what you're saying. Great minds think alike. Calexit isn't going anywhere in the next couple of years but the seed has been planted.