Saturday, July 25, 2015

Social entropy

The US has become so disunited--religiously, ethnically, politically, economically, culturally, racially, linguistically--that its existence as a single political entity no longer makes sense. As the polyglot country becomes increasingly diverse and thus increasingly divided, people are becoming increasingly distrustful of other people. The following graph shows the percentage of GSS respondents, by year, who say that "most people can be trusted" (n = 37,407):

Whites self-describe as far more trusting of others than NAMs do, and slightly more trusting of others than Asians do. From 2000 onward (the year the survey first began asking a detailed question about racial identity), the percentages of respondents who say most people can be trusted, by race (n = 11,530):

Hispanics and Asians are the fastest growing demographic groups in the US. As their shares of the population continue to grow, levels of social trust will continue to deteriorate. Prepare to hunker down in the disUnited States of Misanthropia.

GSS variables used: YEAR, TRUST(1-2), RACECEN1(1)(2)(4-10)(15-16)


Anonymous said...

No. That's what's supposed to happen, and that's the data they're looking for.

Oh no one world here, but we're not divided as they wish us to be.

The racial conflict in America is essentially Othello with Iago collecting the insurance money.

Our actual dividing line is the Hudson/Potomac River line. East of this is the enemy, West of it America. A workable solution.



Anonymous said...

Um...I see that Asians have a trusting rate that is closer to that of the White one than the Black/Hispanic/Native American level. I'm much more concerned about Hispanics being the least trusting race than about Asians being close to the level of Whites in trustingness.

Audacious Epigone said...


Secession by US census region is an idea.


Right, but average levels of trust are still going to deteriorate with diversity, even if it's the less objectively objectionable East Asian variety.

jjbees said...

Is there a question of "Do you leave your car/home unlocked when you leave/at night?"

This would probably be the single best question for trust. Even a pious liberal will lock his car doors if there is a black in his FOV.

JayMan said...

It would be interesting to see the trend since 2000 for all races separately. Is the decline in trust driven by a rise in low-trust populations?

mono no aware said...

@JayMan: The most trusting ethnic group post-2000 is less trusting than the genpop (usually) was before 1994. While the rise of the low-trust races' population share must be a factor, it seems clear that whites have also become less trusting over this period.