Thursday, June 22, 2017

Are atheists addicted to socialism?

In a great discussion between two leading libertarian minds who forthrightly deal with immigration and the National Question--that is, they don't ignore HBD--Stefan Molyneux asserts a strong association between atheism and socialism:



Sure, we know about the Soviet Union, the Khmer Rouge, China, and North Korea, but how descriptive is it of the US today?

The GSS has, since its inception, asked respondents to rate on a 7-point scale whether or not "the government ought to reduce income differences" or "not concern itself with reducing income differences". The following graph shows the average response by theistic orientation (inverted from the survey for ease of comprehension). The higher the score the more socialistically inclined the group. To avoid racial confounding, only non-Hispanic whites are considered and for contemporary relevance all responses are from the year 2000 onward (n = 6,428):


One standard deviation is two full points, so while the relationship clearly exists, it's a relatively modest one. By comparison, the gap between atheists and firm believers is only one-fourth as wide as the chasm between self-described liberals and conservatives is.

GSS variables used: GOD(1)(2)(3-5)(6), EQWLTH, YEAR(2000-2016), RACECEN1(1), HISPANIC(1), POLVIEWS(1-2)(5-6)

Wednesday, June 21, 2017

High IQ Jews are extremely pro-choice

Continuing on the subject of Jewish opinions on abortion, the level of support among Jews scoring 9 or 10 on the GSS 10-question Wordsum vocabulary test, indicating an IQ of over 120, ratchets my surprise up another level.

The percentage of high IQ Jews who say a woman should be able to obtain an abortion "if she wants it for any reason", relative to the rest of the native-born Jewish population and to comparable groups of goyim:


While pro-choice positions are correlated positively with IQ, that alone does not explain the strong Jewish tolerance for abortion. Jews with IQs under 120 are significantly more supportive of abortion than are non-Jews with IQs over 120.

Recall that this is the most permissive type of abortion the survey asks about. It is abortion on demand, anytime, anywhere, for any reason. Cold feet 35 weeks in, against the visceral protestations of the would-be father? That appears at least permissible in the eyes of an overwhelming number of high IQ Jews. 

For a thoughtful list of reasons why this is the case from a Jew who is among that overwhelming majority, see here.

GSS variables used: BORN(1), RELIG(1-2,4-13)(3), WORDSUM(0-8)(9-10), ABANY

Tuesday, June 20, 2017

At it again?

Reuters-Ipsos presidential approval polling results from last week:


Yikes, looks bad. They all do, excepting Rasmussen--the outfit that nailed the popular vote margin perfectly in 2016--which is mediocre rather than just plain bad for Trump.

R-I's sample raises suspicions, though. The partisan breakdown among those surveyed:

Democrat -- 45%
Republican -- 33%
Independent/other -- 21%

Compare that to the 2016 exit poll results:


Exit polls showed Democrats with a +3 advantage in November, but R-I's approval poll shows a +12 Democrat advantage, just as it's inaccurate pre-election polls regularly did. In fairness, the approval rating poll is of the general public, not of registered or even likely voters (though the latter was the case during 2016 when R-I was similarly overstating Democrat numbers).

I imagine Reuters' tech guys going about their work honestly, making the data--complete with fully customizable cross-tabs--fed to them by the organization's pollsters publicly accessible. The more ideological mass of the news service's managers and executives, meanwhile, are unaware of how exposed this leaves them.

Don't they know transparency is their achilles' heel? Here's how CBS, which gives Trump a net disapproval rating of 21, explains its methodology:
The poll employed a random digit dial methodology. For the landline sample, a respondent was randomly selected from all adults in the household. For the cell sample, interviews were conducted with the person who answered the phone.

Interviews were conducted in English and Spanish using live interviewers. The data have been weighted to reflect U.S. Census figures on demographic variables.
Nothing on the respective samples sizes by partisan affiliation. Reveal it and any fudging is easily detectable. Keep it under wraps, though, and...

Wait a minute. Random dialing methodology. Interviews conducted in Spanish. Data weighted to census figures. Are respondents even asked about citizenship status?

I wonder how many of these approval rating results--not just from CBS, but in general--include illegal immigrant and other non-citizen responses.

Sunday, June 18, 2017

Silly Shapiro

When it comes to Israel the US, Ben Shapiro is color-blind. He explains:



"Color doesn't matter. Ideology does."

Hmm, let's evaluate that.

How pro-life blacks and whites voted in 2012:


Oops. Let's try among blacks and whites opposed to same-sex marriage:


Well darn. How about blacks and whites opposed to income redistribution:


Ben's not licked yet. There's still drug legalization. Blacks and whites who are against it:


This is getting embarrassing. Maybe when the ideology is more abstract, like the idea that government does too much and is too large. Surely blacks and whites in agreement on that vote similarly:


Oh boy. We've yet to look at those who explicitly self-identify as politically conservative, however! That's an indisputable ideological marker. Black and white conservatives certainly must be on the same page:


Zero-for-six. We could do this all day long.

Turns out color does matter. It matters more than ideology, in fact. And the more racially diverse the country becomes, the more color will matter and the less ideology will. As the late Lee Kuan Yew put it:
In multiracial societies, you don't vote in accordance with your economic interests and social interests, you vote in accordance with race and religion.
The alt right understands this. Cuckservatives like Shapiro do not. Or if they do, they don't care because the people they care about are not the people they'd have you or I believe they care about.

GSS variables used: PRES12(1-3), HISPANIC(1), RACECEN1(1)(2), POLVIEWS(5-6), MARHOMO(4-5), ABANY(2), EQWLTH(5-7), GRASS(2), HELPNOT(4-5)

Saturday, June 17, 2017

Oy vey, Jews are abortion aficionados

In the comments at the Chateau, Days of Broken Arrows writes:
My ex is Jewish and went back to her synagogue when we split (since I’m Catholic, we were “areligious” when we were together, but I digress). She’s always been conservative and she was unpleasantly surprised to find her temple was no longer really about religion. It was about “social justice” (her words) and getting behind leftist political causes. She felt this was completely inappropriate. She got disgusted with everything being put through a political filter — with an aggressively anti-conservative, anti-Christian/Catholic tone to it.

She especially took issue with the obsession with abortion rights [my emphasis] and women’s issues. She felt like she was attending Berkeley lectures, not going to a religious service.

So, she searched around for other places of worship online but found to her dismay that every synagogue was this political, if not more.
Jews tend to be on the left, (though nowhere near as overwhelmingly as blacks--who voted 65% and 86%, respectively, for Hillary in the two-way presidential election), so it's not surprising that they're pro-choice.

The degree to which they are, however, is surprising. The following graph shows the percentages, by religious affiliation, who say a woman should be able to obtain an abortion if she "wants it for any reason". This is as pure a pro-choice position as it comes. Abortions anytime, anywhere, for any reason. For contemporary relevance, all responses are from the year 2000 onward (n = 12,658; Jewish n = 226):


There are no other major demographic categories that come close to this level of abortion fanaticism:


And this modestly understates the full tribe's orientation towards the abortion issue. The methodology misses the especially irreligious ethnic Jews who identify as having no religion rather than as religiously Jewish. By identifying as irreligious rather than as Jewish, these secular ethnic Jews are depressing the Jewish figure of 75.7% and inflating the "no religion" figure of 63.9%.

Jews are eugenicists, even though few would ever identify as such given the current pejorative nature of the term. Their pro-choice bona fides aside, I suspect Jewish women actually obtain few abortions in practice. That's the sort of messy, chaotic thing that proles lacking Jewish privilege do.

I respect everything in the preceding paragraph. I wish the group it applies to wasn't so effectively hostile towards myself and my posterity, though.

GSS variables used: ABANY, RELIG(1)(2)(3)(4)(5-13), RACECEN1(1)(2), HISPANIC(1)(2-50), SEX(2), AGE(18-39), CHILDS(0), MARITAL(5), POLVIEWS(1-2), PARTYID(0-1)