| Graduated in | IQ |
| 1960s | 112.3 |
| 1970s | 109.1 |
| 1980s | 106.0 |
| 1990s | 103.9 |
| 2000s | 102.9 |
| 2010s | 100.0 |
The change in the intelligence of the average college graduate over the last fifty years approaches the IQ gap separating whites and blacks.
This is an inevitable consequence of increasing the share of the population that attends college. In the sixties, 10% of American adults had college degrees. Since then that figure has more than tripled, to 33% today.
To say we're well into the territory of diminishing returns is to understate the problem--we're past the point of negative returns. Most Americans in college today are not benefiting from being there. They're foregoing work to accrue debt for degrees that, if they increase earning power at all, do so only marginally and they're picking up an unhelpful sense of entitlement in the process.
GSS variables used: COHORT(1940-1949)(1950-1959)(1960-1969)(1970-1979)(1980-1989)(1990-1999), EDUC(16-20), WORDSUM, BORN(1)
* Values for each decade come from those born two decades prior, so the time of actual graduation is approximate. For example, the result for the 1960s comes from the wordsum scores of those born in the 1940s; the result for the 1970s from those born in the 1950s, and so on. The approach isn't perfect--some people graduate later in life and a few while still in their teens--but it is an improvement on previous approaches.
3 comments:
At this point anyone who can pay for tuition can get in somewhere. Anything else is probably considered discriminatory at this point.
The same is starting to happen with graduate school as well. Just as long as you can pay (or borrow), some college will take you.
The problem isn't going to get much better either because that would involve telling parents that their children aren't college material. The education system and academia at this point just plays a giant game of hot potato where they toss the potato students onto the next guy. They will fail eventually but they don't want to be the ones to fail them.
People bring up the trades but I see a lot of students who I wouldn't trust to do my electrical wiring or plumbing. There's a large cohort of people who seem designed to work at a Walmart or a Costco their whole lives stocking shelves: they're just smart enough to know where to stock the toilet paper but that's about it.
Devin Helton's recent post on which occupations actually have intrinsic need for college study is apropos: https://devinhelton.com/how-many-jobs-require-college
This is one of those measures that perfectly tracks striving. Elites off-shored many jobs, devalued many of the remaining jobs, imported tons of foreign cheap labor, etc. The masses feel greater pressure to show off their qualifications for increasingly scarce "good" jobs, with the pressure growing in each passing decade. If you don't get a degree to promote, what kind of loser must you be?
College used to be reserved for a relatively small class of people who had the mental horsepower to succeed as professionals.
The mediocrity of the last several decades of students means that many of them can't effectively perform many professional/intellectual duties, with some lucking into intellectually mismatched work via connections/nepotism, the casting couch, and affirmative action. Of course, much of the actual heavy lifting is shifted to people who actually deserve to be there.
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