A SurveyUSA poll has Trump up by seven in the tar heel state. The poll contains a few potentially huge indicators of a Trump winning the presidency if they scale nationally.
- Among blacks, Hillary's lead is only 84%-14%, and 72% of Trump's blacks supporters say they are voting for him "enthusiastically"; 65% of Hillary's blacks say the same about her.
Even if we discount those who indicate they'll vote for him "with reservations" and who are "not sure" about their level of enthusiasm entirely, that's still Trump getting 10%. When Romney won the state in 2012, exit polling showed him getting just 4% of blacks.
- Trump is outperforming the Republican senatorial candidate by 2 points, the Republican gubernatorial candidate by 4 points, and the Republican attorney general candidate by 8 points. All of these Republican candidates are incumbents.
Many a spineless cuck has shed crocodile tears over Trump putatively hurting down-ballot Republicans. To the contrary, it looks as though Republicans in tight races who let go of Trump's coattails when their paymasters swore for the 13th time that Trump's campaign was moribund are the ones who are going to crash and burn [Edit: I likely overstated this: See Jeffery's comment].
The GOPe just doesn't understand how unpopular it is. As has been said here before, the Republican party is undeservedly fortunate to attach it's name to Trump, not the other way around.
- Among those aged 18-34, Hillary leads 45%-42%. That marginal advantage is dwarfed by Obama's performance in 2012 when he got over 60% of the under-35 vote in North Carolina.
Blacks and younger--two of Obama's electoral pillars--are going to turn out at lower rates than they did in '08 and '12. Among those who do, support for Hillary is going to be weaker than it was for Obama.
Tangentially, among those aged 18-34, 55% suspect that voter fraud occurs either "often" or "sometimes". That's higher than among any other age group. For all other age groups the figure is less than 50%.
The well has been poisoned. Democracy is in trouble.