Three battleground state polls were released today by Quinnipiac:
Obama swept Romney in all of them. If Trump flips Ohio, Florida, and Pennsylvania, and the rest of the electoral map remains the same as 2012, Trump wins.
Trump is now incorporating the Hillary-as-a-rape-enabler-and-apologist spiel into his campaign events.
Hillary just got embarrassed by Sanders yet again. With over 80% of the results in as of this writing, it looks like he's going to win every single county in West Virginia.
Over the last couple of months, Trump has been significantly outpeforming his polling averages.
Additionally, these poll samples are based on turnout in previous presidential cycles [edit: They are based on adult population as determined by "recent Census or American Community Survey data"]. The general election in November will be less black and more working-class white than either 2008 or 2012 were, and so also less black and more working-class than these polls assume. Both of these things will benefit Trump.
Those who think this is in the bag for Hillary--we're looking at you, Nate--should reconsider, less they find themselves without a shred of credibility left when they sit down for Thanksgiving dinner.