Saturday, November 27, 2010

Where the White Bread Goes

++Addition++Steve Sailer makes some observations on the nation's top two whitopias, one quite red and the other very blue.

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The following table ranks states by accretion in each state's white population exclusively due to internal migration within the US (thus excluding birth rates and foreign immigration) over a three-year period. "Growth" is measured in terms of the percentage of the population in each state that is white. So if a state has one million white residents and over the time period being measured 40,000 move out of state and 50,000 move in (for a net of 10,000 whites), the growth rate is 1.0% (10,000/1,000,000). Because internal migration is the only thing being measured, it's a zero-sum game--for every state that has growth, another has a corresponding contraction. The data, from Pew, are from 2005-2007, and so predate the recession:

State
% change
1. District of Columbia
5.1
2. Idaho
4.6
3. Arizona
4.5
4. South Carolina
3.5
5. North Carolina
2.8
6. Delaware
2.6
7. Oregon
2.2
8. Georgia
2.0
9. Arkansas
1.9
10. Oklahoma
1.7
10. Montana
1.7
10. Alabama
1.7
13. Texas
1.6
14. Washington
1.4
14. Tennessee
1.4
14. New Mexico
1.4
17. Kentucky
1.3
18. Colorado
1.2
19. Florida
0.9
20. Utah
0.7
20. New Hampshire
0.7
20. Nevada
0.7
23. Virginia
0.6
24. Missouri
0.4
25. West Virginia
0.3
25. Pennsylvania
0.3
25. Iowa
0.3
28. South Dakota
0.1
29. Wisconsin
0
29. Indiana
0
31. Nebraska
(0.2)
32. Vermont
(0.3)
33. Maine
(0.4)
34. Wyoming
(0.6)
34. Kansas
(0.6)
36. North Dakota
(0.7)
37. Ohio
(0.9)
38. Minnesota
(1.0)
39. Rhode Island
(1.1)
40. Illinois
(1.4)
40. Connecticut
(1.4)
42. Mississippi
(1.7)
42. Michigan
(1.7)
44. New Jersey
(2.0)
44. California
(2.0)
46. Massachusetts
(2.1)
47. Maryland
(2.2)
48. New York
(2.3)
49. Louisiana
(3.6)
50. Hawaii
(6.8)
51. Alaska
(7.3)

Generally, the South, the Mountain West, and the Pacific Northwest are where whites are moving to, hailing originally from the Midwest and Northeast, though there are exceptions. There is movement out of Mississippi and Louisiana, as well as mini-exodus from Hawaii and Alaska back into the contiguous US. Parenthetically, it should be noted that white internal migration patterns roughly parallel those of non-whites.

New Hampshire--surely the state I'd want to call home if I relocated to the Northeast--bucks the trend. The states surrounding California have all seen increases from the Golden State's white flight. California is losing over 100,000 whites (net) each year as the former destination for American Dreamers continues its tragic implosion. Looks like Jack Cashill asks a more relevant question than Thomas Frank does.

The nation's capital has undergone the most substantial demographic transition in the country over the last decade, as blacks have left en masse (DC lost a staggering one-fifth of its black population over the three year period), replaced by SWPLs who have heeded John Derbyshire's prudent advice that people should do their best to get government jobs.

6 comments:

Jack O'Bannon said...

Interesting, thanks for the statistics.

Anonymous said...

I live in NW Washington DC and it's astonishing how white it's become. I believe Manhattan is also experiencing a big net increase of whites.

Steve Sailer said...

Thanks.

You can see the differing fates of Jan Brewer and Sharron Angle in the net migration statistics for Nevada and Arizona. A majority of the net gain in Arizona were whites (primarily Californians arbitraging high home prices in California, no doubt), while whites only made up 11% of the net gain in Nevada.

Audacious Epigone said...

Steve,

I wonder what a good measure of hostility to political correctness at the state level might be, if such a proxy is even realistic. I suspect Arizona would be near the top.

Another thing that emerges from the Pew data is that blacks simply don't move much, and I suspect it is for more than just economic reasons.

Anonymous said...

How about figuring the net migration numbers for different minority groups? It'd be interesting to see where Hispanics, blacks, and Asians are going. Also, if we could compare the white/minority rate, we could see which places whites tend to have a special preference for.

Audacious Epigone said...

Anon,

I'll be taking you up on that suggestion. It could be interesting to see what shows up re: the Derb's Ice people/Sun people dichotomy.