Friday, June 13, 2008

Surprise, surprise--blacks more 'racist' in how they vote than whites are

Last week the Washington Post's Richard Cohen wrote a lugubrious column lamenting how "rancid" it was that white Democrats were voting for Hillary because of her race. He showed no corresponding disgust at black support for Obama, a risible double standard Pat Buchanan called him on.

The black support Obama received against Hillary, akin to what any Democratic candidate receives against a Republican in the general election, strongly suggested that blacks were more likely than whites to vote for racial reasons. But I hadn't realized exit polling data explicitly backed that assertion up. It does.

From Pennsylvania on (excluding Montana and South Dakota, due to so few blacks in both), exit pollsters broke down by race the question of whether or not race was important in determining who the voter choose. Following is how likely a black voter is to choose his candidate for racial reasons relative to the likelihood of a white voter doing the same, by state. Thus 100% indicates equal likelihood, 50% indicates blacks are half as likely as whites to vote for racial reasons, and 200% indicates blacks are twice as likely as whites to do so:

Pennsylvania: 200%
Indiana: 241%
North Carolina: 205%
West Virginia: 148%*
Kentucky: 105%
Oregon: 395%*

The intuition was correct. Blacks have shown themselves to be considerably more 'racist' in the way they determine who they'll vote for than whites are.

To pick on Cohen a little more, let me make it clear that I don't find this "good, bad, or indifferent". For those who don't have their heads in the sand or have actually spent time in black environments, it's not the least bit surprising. Even on radio and television blacks are unashamedly clannish, showing far more interest in what's going on in "the community" (the black community, that is) than in what's going on in the, uh, broader community.

In the words of Lee Kwan Yew:
In multiracial societies, you don't vote in accordance with your economic interests and social interests, you vote in accordance with race and religion.
Whites, as both a market dominant majority and the most liberal latitudinarians on the planet, don't do so as overwhelmingly as other racial groups do (at least not yet).

Of course, for guys like Cohen and most of the major media establishment that favor non-white candidates on the left, it is crucial that whites do not vote in racial solidarity with those seeking office. On the other hand, it is crucial that non-whites do.

The best way to divert attention from this glaring double standard is to decry racialism by pointing to and attacking whites, and then, if necessary, to throw up the hands in frustration over identity politics in general when it is pointed out that whites are the least racialist in the way they vote. Let the situation diffuse a bit, and then start up again, going after whites anew.

* Blacks only comprised 3% of the total voting population in WV and OR, so rounding could have conceivably shifted the ratio quite a bit in either direction.

15 comments:

John S. Bolton said...

the unprincipled nature of the evaluation that you point out, that it is crucial for the left to get minorities to practice extreme racial solidarity in bloc voting, and for the majority to be vilified for even showing a small fraction of that solidarity, proves something. It shows that power-greed is working the racial angles relentlessly and from the left, but in a shamelessly unprincipled way: the double-standards mentioned are indispensable for that. This is part of the evidence that supports the conclusion that the left has given up on the class war and class solidarity and long since; as they put race and ethnicity front and center, trumping other divides. Thanks for extracting those numbers and publicizing them.

Audacious Epigone said...

JSB,

I adjusted the numbers to correct for an error I'd made the first time, in looking at the exit polling data incorrectly. The variances aren't quite as extreme as I'd initial thought, but the thrust is the same.

Indra Maghavan said...

It appears that the same tribal mentality affects the supposedly conservative among blacks, as well. As I blogged on early today, looks like even the Republicans among them are going to jump ship now that they have a (half)black to vote for. Priciples schminciples! They have a tribe to align with!

Anonymous said...

As I blogged on early today, looks like even the Republicans among them are going to jump ship now that they have a (half)black to vote for

There are black Republicans?!

Audacious Epigone said...

Indra,

I was about to make the point that in an interview with JC Watts a month or so back (I think it was on Sean Hannity's radio show), I strongly sensed him defending Obama from Hannity's questions in a personal way. Then I read your post. I'm hardly surprised to see Watts standing where he is. Guess we shouldn't be surprised.

Anon,

There are more left-handed blacks than black Republicans, though!

al fin said...

Indra,

I've seen the same thing among conservative and libertarian black bloggers. Tribalism trumps reason and logic.

Too bad the candidate isn't Colin Powell instead of Obamassiah.

Audacious Epigone said...

AF and Indra,

Do you think it would work in reverse? Would a black Republican candidate running against a white Democrat in the national election significantly pull black votes to the GOP? I should probably look at how Michael Steele and Lynn Swan did in '06 to get an idea, but I'm not very familiar with those races off the top of my head.

Indra Maghavan said...

Great question. I would place my bet no higher than the 55% over-under line. Most blacks look at black Republicans as some sort of alien lifeform inhabiting a black body, so too much above half would be a hard sell. Do you remember the "draft Condi Rice" movement a few months back? Republican genius at work: "We'll see yer (half)black male and white female, and raise ya a black female." Probably would have worked, but there's that whole darn Republican primary thing getting in the way of good political strategy...

Audacious Epigone said...

Do you remember the "draft Condi Rice" movement a few months back?

Of course. Another one of Dick Morris' prognostications that didn't pan out!

Nicholas Stix said...

To clarify, were the stats based on voters actually admitting to pollsters that they had just pulled the lever for the candidate of their choice based solely on his race?

Nicholas Stix said...

Apparently, I didn't make the proper sacrifice to the link gods just now.

Audacious Epigone said...

Nicholas,

The stats are based on the percentage of voters who said race was either one of multiple factors or the most important factor of all (as opposed to race not being a factor). Only the combined percentages of the first two options are broken down by race in the exit polling data.

Anonymous said...

In multiracial societies, you don't vote in accordance with your economic interests and social interests, you vote in accordance with race and religion.

Aristotle said the same thing 2000 years ago.

Audacious Epigone said...

Anon,

Seems we should deem those "words of wisdom", doesn't it?

Anonymous said...

I'm sure you haven't overlooked the fact that blacks have been voting for whites for a very long time.