Thursday, December 20, 2007

Mass deportations? Illegal immigrants leaving ahead of immigration enforcement laws going into effect

More evidence that the mass deportation argument--that the repatriation of the US' illegal immigrant population would require a massive manhunting and governmentally-funded transportation effort--is a brittle strawman with no grounding in reality:
It's a common scene this time of year: streams of overloaded cars, pickups and vans with U.S. license plates crossing into Mexico for the holidays. Most are filled with Hispanic families from Arizona and other states on their way to visit relatives south of the border for a few weeks before heading back to the U.S. But this year, the holiday travelers are being joined by scores of families such as Jorge and Liliana Franco, who are driving to Mexico not to visit but to stay - permanently. ...

The number returning to Mexico is difficult to calculate [heh, I wonder why? The best estimates I've seen put the number around 100 per day], but there is no question that many families are leaving, according to Mexican government officials, local community leaders and immigrants

"The situation in Arizona has become very tough," Jorge said minutes after driving into a Mexican immigration and customs checkpoint south of the border on Mexico 15.

Dozens of immigrants are leaving the U.S. daily, and even more are expected to leave once the sanctions law takes effect in January, provided the law survives a last-minute legal challenge, said Rosendo Hernandez, president of the advocacy group Immigrants Without Borders.
Pass laws with real penalties for residing in the US illegally, and people will stop residing in the US illegally. It's really that simple. No massive increase in ICE agents needed. No train of buses stretching all across Route 66 required. Just a little legislative action and some targeted employer raids, and the problem is just about whacked.

During Operation Wetback, for every one illegal forcibly removed, seven or eight left of their own volition. A similar ratio appears to be the rule today.


savage said...

There is more. From the article:

"The couple said life for them in Arizona began to unravel earlier this year when Congress failed to pass comprehensive immigration reform. The collapse caused the Francos to give up hope that Congress would pass a legalization program anytime soon. Then, Gov. Janet Napolitano signed Arizona's employer-sanctions law."

As if it were the obligation of the United States to ensure amnesty for the world's destitute law breakers while giving these same law breakers an advantage in business. The law referred to does not even become so until the beginning of the new year, yet already the outward flow occurs. Indeed the law breakers will leave on their own, in anticipation of being brought to account for their crimes.

Dennis Mangan said...

I wouldn't be surprised if lots of them are moving to California, which must be the most illegal-friendly state in the union. The Governator welcomes them

Al Fin said...

Mexico has a higher per capita GDP than most of Latin Ameica. Higher than China, Turkey, Venezuela, Lebanon, India . . . If the US lays down and plays dead for Mexican immigrants, imagine what will happen when the other 6 billion people worse off than the Mexicans start coming.

With less government corruption, Mexico could be another land of opportunity.

Too bad Bill Clinton, George Bush, etc. all seem so eager to bail Mexico out--to be Mexico's enabler in its corruption addiction.

Audacious Epigone said...


I suppose guys like yourself, Steve Sailer, and Randall Parker can 'isolate' yourselves enough geographically. Cali's a big state, after all. But financially, I'm not sure how I could handle it. I'd want to leave more to my children!

Al Fin,

A lot of Mexico's wealth is generated from its status as a 3rd world country sharing the longest border in the world with a first world nation. I'm not overly confident that it can do much by itself, as the per capita wealth gap between the two countries has stayed static for more than a decade. That means, of course, that I only agree with you even more.

Steve Sailer wrote a VDare column a couple of years back, pegging the number at 5 billion. If you were intending hyperbole, you missed the mark. If you were being literal, you were just about spot on.

MikeFrizzi said...

A few workplace raids will be enough? have it all figured out..The truth is that the green card visa is the goal of many people and laws will not change them from trying to attain one. Now, if they have to live here illegally while they make that journey and earn their living, well, that's just the way it's gonna be.

Anonymous said...

What this entry overlooks is the fact that operation Wetback was a flagrant violation of the constitution and involved racial profiling as a central means of operation. Let's say, just for argument, that such a strategy were in place today. What would happen to Mexicans who were on programs such as the EB5 immigrant investor visa? These people come to the US and actually create 10+ jobs for Americans. Why would we want to get rid of them?